Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin, 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), with S. Jablonski officiating. The odds point to 1. FC Köln (52%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Union Berlin win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Union Berlin lose by 1. Loses: Union Berlin lose by 2 or more.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, 1. FC Köln average 2.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 2.0 against for Union Berlin.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1; Union Berlin: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have taken 7 wins to Union Berlin's 10 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 30–28.
What to expect
In our view 1. FC Köln hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 5 draws, Union Berlin 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Köln 2–1, Union Berlin 4–2.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Union Berlin will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.84 | 3.94 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.69 | 4.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.32 | 3.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 1W 0D 0L (2:1), Union Berlin 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 22 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 5D 10L, goals 30–28.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: injuries and missing players
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: last matches of both teams
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnWUnion BerlinWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Our estimate gives 1. FC Köln a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Berlin 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: S. Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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