Our tip for Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.77. Second tip: Alavés to win at odds of 2.11. The bookmakers' odds give Alavés 46%, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruña 26%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Alavés lie 9th, having collected 13 points after 12 matches (3W 4D 5L); Deportivo La Coruña lie 8th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.77), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Alavés 0, Deportivo La Coruña 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Alavés: no absences. Deportivo La Coruña will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.11 | 3.53 | 3.88 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.34 | 3.62 |
| Lowest odds | 1.96 | 3.09 | 3.37 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 69.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.18 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.72 | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.91 | 24.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.83 | 50.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Alavés 1–1 Deportivo La Coruña, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Alavés 9th (13 points), Deportivo La Coruña 8th (14 points).
- Absences: Alavés 0, Deportivo La Coruña 0.
Who will win Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña: injuries and missing players
Alavés
- No reported absences
Deportivo La Coruña
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Alavés
Home and away
Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña: last matches of both teams
Alavés
Deportivo La Coruña
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Under 2.5 goals (1.77); Alavés to win (2.11).
Who will win Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our estimate gives Alavés a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruña 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
Who will be missing?
Alavés: no absences. Deportivo La Coruña: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.22) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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