Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Lye Meadow (Alfchurch), Alvechurch take on Spalding United. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Alvechurch win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Alvechurch lose.
Alvechurch vs Spalding United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Alvechurch: no absences. Spalding United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Alvechurch vs Spalding United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 2.81 | 3.49 | 2.19 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.98 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.83 | 32.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.13 | 43.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Alvechurch 1–1 Spalding United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Alvechurch vs Spalding United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Alvechurch vs Spalding United: injuries and missing players
Alvechurch
- No reported absences
Spalding United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
Alvechurch +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
Our estimate gives Alvechurch a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spalding United 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Lye Meadow, Alfchurch.
Who will be missing?
Alvechurch: no absences. Spalding United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.75) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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