Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Arena (Munich), with H. Osmers officiating. The odds point to Bayern München (90%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Bayern München average 4.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 0.0 against for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Form in the competition. Bayern München: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1; 1. FC Magdeburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern München have taken 1 win to 1. FC Magdeburg's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–1.
What to expect
In our view Bayern München hold the advantage. We project a 4–1 scoreline, around 5 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (8.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.08), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.81), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 85%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Bayern München 1 win, 0 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 7.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Bayern München 4–1, 1. FC Magdeburg 4–0.
- Our projection is around 5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 85%.
- Unavailable: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 27%, top price 3.75). A projection of around 5 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Magdeburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.08 | 15.00 | 41.71 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.78 | 31.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.05 | 11.33 | 23.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.02 | 1.02 | 94.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.09 | 85.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.00 | 6.38 | 14.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 73.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.81 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Magdeburg, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L (4:1), 1. FC Magdeburg 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 1 match: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: injuries and missing players
Bayern München
- No reported absences
1. FC Magdeburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: last matches of both teams
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Bayern MünchenW1. FC MagdeburgWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Both teams to score (1.81); Bayern München to win (1.08).
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our estimate gives Bayern München a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and 1. FC Magdeburg 3%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Allianz Arena, Munich. Referee: H. Osmers.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 85% (odds 1.10) and under 2.5 goals at 15% (odds 7.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.81).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (8.9%), then 4–0 (8.8%) and 3–1 (7.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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