EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal, 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood), with M. Salisbury officiating. The odds point to Arsenal (89%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Fleetwood Town average 2.0 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 2.0 against for Arsenal.
- Form in the competition. Fleetwood Town: 3W 0D 0L, goals 6–0; Arsenal: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
What to expect
In our view Arsenal hold the advantage. We project a 0–3 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–3 (13.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.10), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score: no (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 36%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Fleetwood Town 6–0, Arsenal 4–2.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 40.00 | 15.00 | 1.10 |
| Market average | 30.26 | 12.35 | 1.07 |
| Lowest odds | 14.44 | 7.91 | 1.03 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.44 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.70 | 2.58 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Fleetwood Town 0–3 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fleetwood Town 3W 0D 0L (6:0), Arsenal 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: injuries and missing players
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: last matches of both teams
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Fleetwood TownWWWArsenalWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
Over 3.5 goals (1.80); Arsenal to win (1.10).
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
Our estimate gives Fleetwood Town a 3% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Arsenal 89%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Referee: M. Salisbury.
Who will be missing?
Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 36% (odds 2.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–3 (13.5%), then 0–2 (12.4%) and 0–4 (10.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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