Football
Home › Predictions › Forest Green vs Chesham United
FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Forest Green vs Chesham United: prediction, odds and betting tip – 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Forest Green
5–0
Chesham United
1Forest Green1.25
XDraw6.40
2Chesham United13.00

Top price available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Forest Green vs Chesham United, 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The New Lawn (Nailsworth). The odds point to Forest Green (76%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Forest Green vs Chesham United: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Forest Green -1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.76
Chance 62% · confidence medium

Wins: Forest Green win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): Forest Green win by 1. Loses: a draw, Forest Green lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Chance 63% · confidence medium
Combo
Forest Green with over 2.5 goals
1.82
55% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Forest Green or draw (1X) at a probability of 92%, with odds of up to 1.06. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
Freshbet100% UP TO £1500
Bet now →

Forest Green vs Chesham United: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Forest Green hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (12.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

    With the result at a short price (1.25), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
    2. Unavailable: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Forest Green: no absences. Chesham United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available1.256.4013.00
    Market average1.195.8911.11
    Lowest odds1.145.008.29
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.151.1282.0%
    Over 2.5 goals1.501.4563.5%
    Under 2.5 goals2.632.5236.5%
    Over 3.5 goals2.202.1343.0%
    BTTS – yes2.032.0145.9%
    BTTS – no1.731.7054.1%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.6%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Forest Green 2–0 Chesham United, roughly 4 goals in total.
    • Absences: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

    Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Forest Green76%
    Draw15%
    Chesham United8%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: more betting tips

    Forest Green or draw (1X)91.7% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.15
    Likely
    Forest Green to win76.3% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals63.5% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.62
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.73
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.20
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals36.5% · fair odds 2.74 · best 2.63
    Outsider
    Draw15.4% · fair odds 6.48 · best 6.40
    Outsider
    Chesham United to win8.3% · fair odds 12.05 · best 13.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Correct score tips

    2 : 012.0%
    3 : 010.2%
    1 : 09.4%
    2 : 19.0%
    3 : 17.6%
    1 : 17.1%

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: injuries and missing players

    Forest Green

    • No reported absences

    Chesham United

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.6%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Forest Green -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).

    Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Our estimate gives Forest Green a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Chesham United 8%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue The New Lawn, Nailsworth.

    Who will be missing?

    Forest Green: no absences. Chesham United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.63).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.03).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 2–0 (12.0%), then 3–0 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.4%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

    More predictions

    Huddersfield vs Exeter City 7 NovBarnsley vs Aldershot Town 7 NovBurton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7 NovFleetwood Town vs Rochdale 7 NovOxford United vs Stevenage 7 Nov

    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.