EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Craven Cottage (London), Fulham take on Crystal Palace, with S. Hooper in charge. We make Fulham (56%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Crystal Palace win, a draw. Stake back: Crystal Palace lose by 1. Loses: Crystal Palace lose by 2 or more.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Fulham average 3.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 3.0 for and 0.0 against for Crystal Palace.
- Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–2; Crystal Palace: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Fulham have taken 3 wins to Crystal Palace's 8 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 20–25.
What to expect
In our view Fulham hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Fulham 3 wins, 6 draws, Crystal Palace 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Fulham 6–2, Crystal Palace 3–0.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.64). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.74 | 4.13 | 4.76 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 4.03 | 4.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.28 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 0D 0L (6:2), Crystal Palace 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 17 matches: Fulham 3W 6D 8L, goals 20–25.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: injuries and missing players
Fulham
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: last matches of both teams
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FulhamWWCrystal PalaceWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Our estimate gives Fulham a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crystal Palace 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Craven Cottage, London. Referee: S. Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.64) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.