Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United (FA Cup, 7 November 2026, 15:00): Sutton United +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.48. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.65. The bookmakers' odds give Guiseley AFC 27%, the draw 26% and Sutton United 47%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Sutton United win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Sutton United lose.
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United preview and prediction
Our tip for this FA Cup 1/128-final is Sutton United +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.55, which the market rates at a 63 per cent chance. We like the price, and we like the fact that a draw returns the stake rather than costing it. The tie is at Nethermoor Park, kick-off 15:00 on 7 November 2026.
The key facts
- Likely result: Guiseley AFC 1–1 Sutton United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Guiseley AFC 4W 1D 0L (12:4), Sutton United 1W 0D 0L (1:0).
- H2H: 4 matches: Guiseley AFC 1W 0D 3L, goals 2–8.
- Absences: Guiseley AFC 0, Sutton United 0.
How has Guiseley started in this competition?
Guiseley have four wins and a draw from their five matches in this competition this season. They have scored 12 and conceded 4, which means 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Those numbers belong to a side that attacks freely and rarely lets the opposition breathe at the back.
Sutton have played only one match in the competition, a 1-0 win, and they kept a clean sheet in it. One game is a thin base, so we would not build a case on it alone. It is still the only competition form we have for them, and it is the figure we have to weigh against Guiseley's.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Who has the better record in this fixture?
Sutton have won three of the last four meetings, Guiseley one. The biggest margin was Sutton's 4-0 win in February 2018, and across those four games Sutton scored 8 goals to Guiseley's 2. The rest were closer: Guiseley won 2-1 in February 2017, Sutton won 2-0 in November 2017 and 1-0 in October 2016.
We read that as a rivalry where the visitors have usually found a way to win. Four games is not a long history, but it points in one direction.
Are there any absences to worry about?
No absences have been reported for either club, so the pre-match picture is clean. We would judge this one on form and meetings, and a late change to either team sheet would be the only thing that could alter that view.
What do the bookmakers expect from the result?
Sutton are the market's favourites. Their chance of a win is 47 per cent, best odds 2.01. Guiseley sit at 27 per cent with best odds of 3.54, and a draw at 26 per cent with best odds of 4.20. The margin on the three-way market is 8.5 per cent, so these figures show what the bookmakers expect, not what will happen.
The Asian handicap line says much the same thing. Sutton +0 is the best price at 1.55, while Guiseley +0 is at 2.58. The expected goals are about one for Guiseley and two for Sutton, roughly three in total. The market leans one way without expecting a rout.
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.60 | 3.75 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.40 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| Lowest odds | 2.99 | 3.04 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.08 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.73 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.19 | 42.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 23:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.6%.
Our Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United betting tip: Sutton United +0
Sutton have won three of the last four meetings with Guiseley, and the bookmakers give the visitors a 63 per cent chance with the top quote at 1.55. Only a Guiseley win loses this stake. A draw returns it, and that matters to us, because it means the bet does not need the visitors to win outright.
On the most likely scores, a 1-1 returns the stake, and 0-1, 1-2 and 0-2 all win. A 1-0 or a 2-1 loses. The draw is the one result that disappoints, but it never costs the stake.
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Head to head
Is both teams to score a worthwhile second option?
Both teams to score at 1.70 is our second tip, rated at a 56 per cent chance. We expect roughly three goals, and that projection is why we like it alongside the lead pick. It wins on the likeliest scores 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, and loses on 0-1, 0-2 and 1-0.
Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United: injuries and missing players
Guiseley AFC
- No reported absences
Sutton United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Guiseley AFCDWWWWSutton UnitedWWhich other bets would we consider?
- Draw or Sutton United (X2) at odds 1.33, chance 73 per cent. It is the safer way to back the visitors, since a stalemate also pays.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, chance 76 per cent. Short, but the expected scoring level makes it one we would accept.
- Sutton United +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.45, chance 68 per cent. Half the stake sits on Sutton +0 and half on Sutton +0.5, so a narrow Sutton defeat by one goal would cost the whole stake. We would only back it at this price.
Sutton to win, with a sensible hedge
Guiseley have the sharper attack in this competition, and we will not argue with that. Sutton, though, have the stronger head-to-head record and a clean sheet so far. That pairing is why we stay with Sutton United +0 at 1.55, with both teams to score as the secondary option. If you want more cover, Draw or Sutton United at 1.33 is the sensible alternative.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United?
Sutton United +0 (Asian handicap) (1.48); Both teams to score (1.65).
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton United?
Our estimate gives Guiseley AFC a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sutton United 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Nethermoor Park, Guiseley.
Who will be missing?
Guiseley AFC: no absences. Sutton United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.