Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Harrogate Town welcome Bury on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at CNG Stadium (Harrogate). Harrogate Town (54%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Bury win, a draw. Stake back: Bury lose by 1. Loses: Bury lose by 2 or more.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Harrogate Town hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Harrogate Town: no absences. Bury will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.73 | 4.40 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.22 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bury, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Harrogate Town vs Bury: injuries and missing players
Harrogate Town
- No reported absences
Bury
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Bury +1 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Our estimate gives Harrogate Town a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bury 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue CNG Stadium, Harrogate.
Who will be missing?
Harrogate Town: no absences. Bury: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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