KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II, 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at MySteel Stadion (Helmond), with M. Vos officiating. The odds point to Willem II (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Willem II hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Helmond Sport: no absences. Willem II will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.34 | 3.64 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.28 | 1.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.53 | 36.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Helmond Sport 1–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: injuries and missing players
Helmond Sport
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: last matches of both teams
Helmond Sport
Willem II
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Helmond Sport or draw (1X) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Our estimate gives Helmond Sport a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Willem II 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue MySteel Stadion, Helmond. Referee: M. Vos.
Who will be missing?
Helmond Sport: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (7.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.