Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel), Holstein Kiel take on 1899 Hoffenheim, with B. Dankert in charge. We make 1899 Hoffenheim (64%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Holstein Kiel average 2.0 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 0.0 against for 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Form in the competition. Holstein Kiel: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have taken 0 wins to 1899 Hoffenheim's 4 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–14.
What to expect
In our view 1899 Hoffenheim hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), which we give a 50% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Holstein Kiel 0 wins, 0 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Holstein Kiel 2–0, 1899 Hoffenheim 4–0.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
- Unavailable: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Holstein Kiel: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.00 | 4.97 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.80 | 4.68 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.70 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.15 | 29.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.88 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 0L (2:0), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 4 matches: Holstein Kiel 0W 0D 4L, goals 5–14.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: injuries and missing players
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: last matches of both teams
Holstein Kiel
1899 Hoffenheim
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Holstein KielW1899 HoffenheimWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Over 3.5 goals (1.98); 1899 Hoffenheim to win (1.50).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our estimate gives Holstein Kiel a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 1899 Hoffenheim 64%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: B. Dankert.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.38) and under 2.5 goals at 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.4%), then 1–1 (7.9%) and 0–2 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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