Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday (FA Cup, 8 November 2026, 17:15): Oldham or draw (1X) at odds of 1.78. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.50. The bookmakers' odds give Oldham 29%, the draw 26% and Sheffield Wednesday 45%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday preview and prediction
The FA Cup 1/128‑final clash at Boundary Park pits Oldham against Sheffield Wednesday on 8 November 2026 at 17:15. Both sides arrive with contrasting recent form and a recent head‑to‑head record that slightly favours the visitors. With Oldham needing a positive result at home and Sheffield Wednesday looking to bounce back from a string of defeats, the encounter promises a competitive showdown.
Form of Oldham and Sheffield Wednesday
Oldham’s last five league outings show a mixed pattern. After a goalless draw against Accrington Stanley on 10 October, the team recorded a 4‑1 victory over Cheltenham on 17 October, followed by a heavy 3‑0 defeat at Walsall on 20 October. A 1‑1 draw with Barnet on 24 October and a narrow 0‑1 loss to Crawley Town on 31 October complete the sequence. Overall, Oldham have scored six goals and conceded five in these five matches.
Sheffield Wednesday’s recent form is less balanced. The side began with a dominant 5‑0 win over AFC Wimbledon on 17 October, but then suffered consecutive 2‑0 defeats to Notts County on 20 October and Doncaster on 24 October. The team managed 1‑1 draws against Cambridge United on 27 October and Blackpool on 1 November. In the same five‑match window Wednesday have scored eight goals while conceding three.
Home and Away Records
Oldham’s home performances this season have been inconsistent, highlighted by the 4‑1 win over Cheltenham but also the 0‑1 loss to Crawley Town. Their defensive record at Boundary Park is modest, with only one clean sheet in the last five home games.
Sheffield Wednesday’s away form includes a solid 5‑0 away win at AFC Wimbledon, yet the side has also endured two 2‑0 defeats away to Notts County and Doncaster. The visitors have kept two clean sheets in their last five away matches.
Head‑to‑Head: Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Last four meetings: Oldham 1 win, Sheffield Wednesday 3 wins, no draws.
- Aggregate goals: Oldham 6, Sheffield Wednesday 9.
- Most recent encounter (1 August 2026): Oldham 4‑0 Sheffield Wednesday.
- Earlier results: 13 August 2012 – Oldham 2‑4 Sheffield Wednesday; 9 April 2012 – Sheffield Wednesday 3‑0 Oldham; 10 December 2011 – Oldham 0‑2 Sheffield Wednesday.
Team Absences
Neither club has reported any absences for the match, meaning both squads are expected to be at full strength.
Bookmakers’ Odds and Handicap Lines
The market assigns a 49 % chance to a Sheffield Wednesday win (best odds 1.92), 26 % to an Oldham victory (best odds 3.75) and 24 % to a draw (best odds 3.94). The Asian handicap line most balanced at 0.5 goals each side, offering equal 50 % chances at odds 1.95. The line favouring Sheffield Wednesday (+0.25) carries a 69 % implied probability at odds 1.36, while the opposite line for Oldham (‑0.25) reflects a 31 % chance at odds 3.10.
Our Main Tip and Second Tip
Oldham or draw (1X) at odds 2.00, with an implied chance of 51 %.
The tip is supported by Oldham’s home advantage, the relatively close odds for a draw (3.94) and the fact that Oldham have kept the match within reach in recent games, as shown by the 1‑1 draw with Barnet and the narrow 0‑1 loss to Crawley Town. Moreover, the head‑to‑head record, while favouring Wednesday overall, includes a recent 4‑0 win for Oldham, indicating that a clean sheet for the hosts is possible.
Both teams to score at odds 1.47, with a 63 % implied chance.
Both sides have demonstrated a propensity to find the net: Oldham have scored in four of their last five matches, and Wednesday have scored in three of five, conceding only three goals in the same period. The expected goals model predicts roughly three goals in total (Oldham 1, Wednesday 2), reinforcing the likelihood of both teams contributing to the scoreline.
Other Bets Worth a Look
- Safer option: Draw or Sheffield Wednesday (X2) at odds 1.29, implied chance 74 %.
- Value alternative: Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, implied chance 63 %.
- Goals markets: Over 1.5 goals (82 % chance, odds 1.17) and Under 1.5 goals (18 % chance, odds 5.50).
- Exact score probabilities: 1‑1 (10.2 %), 1‑2 (9.4 %), 0‑1 (7.5 %).
Match Outlook
Considering the form, home advantage, and the balanced Asian handicap line, a tightly contested match is the most probable outcome. Oldham’s ability to score at home combined with Sheffield Wednesday’s recent defensive lapses suggests that both sides are likely to find the net, aligning with the 63 % probability for both teams to score. The expected total of about three goals further supports the case for an over 2.5 goals bet, while the relatively high chance of a draw or a Sheffield Wednesday win makes the X2 option a safe fallback.
In summary, the encounter offers a solid chance for a double‑chance bet on Oldham or draw, complemented by a strong likelihood of both teams scoring. Punters should weigh the value of the over 2.5 goals market against the safety of the X2 selection, depending on their risk appetite.
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.16 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 2.72 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.33 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 23:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Oldham 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 4 matches: Oldham 1W 0D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Absences: Oldham 0, Sheffield Wednesday 0.
Who will win Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: injuries and missing players
Oldham
- No reported absences
Sheffield Wednesday
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: last matches of both teams
Oldham
Sheffield Wednesday
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Oldham or draw (1X) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our estimate gives Oldham a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sheffield Wednesday 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 17:15, venue Boundary Park, Oldham.
Who will be missing?
Oldham: no absences. Sheffield Wednesday: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 1–2 (9.2%) and 0–1 (7.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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