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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 28 October 2026 · 17:00

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction, odds and betting tip – 28 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1SC Paderborn 077.11
XDraw5.40
2VfB Stuttgart1.56

Top price available · Updated 28/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn), SC Paderborn 07 take on VfB Stuttgart, with F. Badstübner in charge. We make VfB Stuttgart (65%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap)
1.91
Chance 56% · confidence medium

Wins: VfB Stuttgart win by 2 or more. Stake back: VfB Stuttgart win by 1. Loses: a draw, VfB Stuttgart lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
VfB Stuttgart with over 2.5 goals
2.04
49% · combo fair odds
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.17.
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SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, SC Paderborn 07 average 4.0 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 0.0 against for VfB Stuttgart.
  2. Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2; VfB Stuttgart: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
  3. Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have taken 0 wins to VfB Stuttgart's 4 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–7.

What to expect

In our view VfB Stuttgart hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 5; SC Paderborn 07 0 wins, 1 draw, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: SC Paderborn 07 4–2, VfB Stuttgart 4–0.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
  5. Unavailable: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available7.115.401.56
Market average6.124.831.44
Lowest odds5.004.201.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1084.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.3967.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.112.8332.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.112.0047.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.9%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 0D 0L (4:2), VfB Stuttgart 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
  • H2H: 5 matches: SC Paderborn 07 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–7.
  • Absences: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

SC Paderborn 0716%
Draw19%
VfB Stuttgart65%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2)84.5% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.91
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.11
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.9% · fair odds 3.04 · best 3.11
Outsider
Draw19.5% · fair odds 5.14 · best 5.40
Outsider
SC Paderborn 07 to win15.5% · fair odds 6.44 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.2%

Correct score tips

1 : 29.6%
0 : 28.8%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.6%
0 : 17.5%
0 : 36.9%

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries and missing players

SC Paderborn 07

  • No reported absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: last matches of both teams

SC Paderborn 07

D 31/10/26 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
W 24/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
D 17/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
L 10/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
W 20/9/26 · SC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim

VfB Stuttgart

L 3/11/26 · Galatasaray 2–0 VfB Stuttgart
W 31/10/26 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
L 23/10/26 · VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
D 20/10/26 · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid
L 17/10/26 · Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart

Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
0%Defence100%
9%Head to head91%
25%Goals75%
33.5%Overall66.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

SC Paderborn 07W
VfB StuttgartW

Head to head

All matches
0SC Paderborn 07
1Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
28/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
10/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
31/1/23 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
23/5/15 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
20/12/14 · VfB Stuttgart 0–0 SC Paderborn 07

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Both teams to score (1.57).

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our estimate gives SC Paderborn 07 a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and VfB Stuttgart 65%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: F. Badstübner.

Who will be missing?

SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.11).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–2 (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.