Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn), SC Paderborn 07 take on VfB Stuttgart, with F. Badstübner in charge. We make VfB Stuttgart (65%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: VfB Stuttgart win by 2 or more. Stake back: VfB Stuttgart win by 1. Loses: a draw, VfB Stuttgart lose.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, SC Paderborn 07 average 4.0 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 4.0 for and 0.0 against for VfB Stuttgart.
- Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2; VfB Stuttgart: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have taken 0 wins to VfB Stuttgart's 4 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–7.
What to expect
In our view VfB Stuttgart hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; SC Paderborn 07 0 wins, 1 draw, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: SC Paderborn 07 4–2, VfB Stuttgart 4–0.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.11 | 5.40 | 1.56 |
| Market average | 6.12 | 4.83 | 1.44 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.11 | 2.83 | 32.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.00 | 47.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 0D 0L (4:2), VfB Stuttgart 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 5 matches: SC Paderborn 07 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–7.
- Absences: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries and missing players
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: last matches of both teams
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our estimate gives SC Paderborn 07 a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and VfB Stuttgart 65%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: F. Badstübner.
Who will be missing?
SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.11).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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