KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam), Sparta Rotterdam take on Fortuna Sittard, with S. van der Eijk in charge. We make Sparta Rotterdam (49%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Fortuna Sittard win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Fortuna Sittard lose by 1. Loses: Fortuna Sittard lose by 2 or more.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Sparta Rotterdam hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Fortuna Sittard will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.63 | 3.57 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 17:26. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: injuries and missing players
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: last matches of both teams
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.77); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our estimate gives Sparta Rotterdam a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fortuna Sittard 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: S. van der Eijk.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.