KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Telstar vs Almere City FC, 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid), with J. van der Laan officiating. The odds point to Telstar (46%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Telstar win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Telstar lose.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Telstar hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Telstar: no absences. Almere City FC will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.09 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.69 | 3.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.44 | 2.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.07 | 45.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.39 | 66.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.79 | 33.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Almere City FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.
Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Telstar vs Almere City FC: injuries and missing players
Telstar
- No reported absences
Almere City FC
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: last matches of both teams
Telstar
Almere City FC
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Telstar vs Almere City FC?
Telstar -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?
Our estimate gives Telstar a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Almere City FC 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid. Referee: J. van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
Telstar: no absences. Almere City FC: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.45) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.9%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–2 (7.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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