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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: prediction, odds and betting tip – 20 October 2026, FA Cup

United of Manchester
2–6
Altrincham
1United of Manchester3.40
XDraw4.00
2Altrincham2.03

Top price available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

United of Manchester welcome Altrincham on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhurst Park (Manchester). Altrincham (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
United of Manchester +1 (Asian handicap)
1.50
Chance 65% · confidence medium

Wins: United of Manchester win, a draw. Stake back: United of Manchester lose by 1. Loses: United of Manchester lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Altrincham (X2) at a probability of 71%, with odds of up to 1.33.
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United of Manchester vs Altrincham: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Altrincham hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

    On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
    2. Unavailable: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

    Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for United of Manchester: no absences. Altrincham will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available3.404.002.03
    Market average3.153.751.93
    Lowest odds2.863.501.88
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.191.1778.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.591.5658.9%
    Under 2.5 goals2.382.2441.1%
    Over 3.5 goals2.462.4237.7%
    BTTS – yes1.551.5459.9%
    BTTS – no2.402.3040.1%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.3%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: United of Manchester 1–1 Altrincham, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    United of Manchester29%
    Draw24%
    Altrincham47%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: more betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.19
    Likely
    Draw or Altrincham (X2)71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Both teams to score: yes59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.55
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.59
    Possible
    Altrincham to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
    Outsider
    Both teams to score: no40.1% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.46
    Outsider
    United of Manchester to win28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 2.09 · Under 1.67
    probability of over 44.5%

    Correct score tips

    1 : 110.8%
    1 : 29.4%
    0 : 18.3%
    0 : 27.3%
    2 : 17.0%
    1 : 06.2%

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: injuries and missing players

    United of Manchester

    • No reported absences

    Altrincham

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.3%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    United of Manchester +1 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    Our estimate gives United of Manchester a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Altrincham 47%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Broadhurst Park, Manchester.

    Who will be missing?

    United of Manchester: no absences. Altrincham: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.59) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.55).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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