Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Worcester City welcome Chorley on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St. George's Lane (Worcester). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Worcester City win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Worcester City lose.
Worcester City vs Chorley: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.63), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Chorley (X2)
Another angle: Draw or Chorley (X2) (probability 63%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Worcester City: no absences. Chorley will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Worcester City vs Chorley: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.47 | 2.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.84 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.63 | 1.63 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.10 | 43.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Worcester City 1–1 Chorley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Absences: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Worcester City vs Chorley: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Worcester City vs Chorley: injuries and missing players
Worcester City
- No reported absences
Chorley
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Worcester City vs Chorley?
Worcester City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.63).
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
Our estimate gives Worcester City a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chorley 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue St. George's Lane, Worcester.
Who will be missing?
Worcester City: no absences. Chorley: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.63).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (8.5%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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