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📊 Statistical probability
Millwall56%
Draw25%
Derby19%
A clash at The Den sees Millwall, sitting 12th with 15 points from four wins, three draws and four losses and an even 18‑18 goal tally, host struggling Derby, who occupy 23rd place with just six points after one victory, three draws and seven defeats, having scored nine and conceded twenty. The home side will look to build on their mid‑table stability, while the visitors will be desperate to snap a poor run and climb out of the relegation zone. Their head‑to‑head record this season offers Millwall a clear statistical edge, and the gap in points underscores the likely ambition of each club on the day.