Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Aarhus vs AC Horsens (Superliga, 8 November 2026, 13:00): Aarhus -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.65. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Aarhus 58%, the draw 23% and AC Horsens 20%. The most likely score is 2–1.
Wins: Aarhus win. Loses: a draw, Aarhus lose.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens preview and prediction
Aarhus and AC Horsens meet at New Vejlby Stadium on 8 November 2026 at 13:00, in Matchweek 14 of the Superliga. The numbers pull in two directions. Horsens sit seventh on 16 points and Aarhus eighth on 12, yet the bookmakers make the home side the clear favourite at 59%. The expected goals say Aarhus 2 and Horsens 1, about 3 in total, so the market is not expecting a flood. We side with the market on the result and think the goals will be limited.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aarhus 2–1 AC Horsens, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 9th (12 points), AC Horsens 7th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 2W 6D 5L (17:21), AC Horsens 4W 4D 5L (23:21).
- H2H: 31 matches: Aarhus 17W 5D 9L, goals 57–34.
- Absences: Aarhus 0, AC Horsens 0.
Table points against the last five results
The table covers this competition only. In it, Aarhus have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 5, scoring 17 and conceding 21. Horsens have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 5, scoring 23 and conceding 21. On the season, Horsens have the better record, and we would not argue with that.
Aarhus have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from those five, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their latest match was a 2-0 defeat at Brøndby. Horsens have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 10 scored and 7 conceded, and that run includes a 5-1 win over Sønderjyske and a 1-0 defeat at Viborg. Horsens have been the more productive of the two.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: last matches of both teams
Aarhus
AC Horsens
Head to head
All matchesAttack against defence, and where it happens
In this competition, Aarhus average 1.3 goals scored per match and concede 1.6. Horsens score 1.8 and concede 1.6. Horsens have the better attack on these figures, and that is the number we would watch. Both defences leak at the same rate, so the match will probably hinge on who gets the first clear chance.
Home form is where we see the edge. Aarhus have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 at New Vejlby in this competition, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Horsens have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 away, with 11 scored and 11 conceded. Aarhus are hard to beat at home, though they have not been prolific there. We think that suits a tight, controlled home win better than a goal fest.
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: injuries and missing players
Aarhus
- No reported absences
AC Horsens
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Thirty-one meetings with a clear lean
Aarhus have won 17 of the last 31 meetings, drawn 5 and lost 9, scoring 57 and conceding 34. The most recent meeting, at Horsens on 20/9/26, ended 2-2. Before that came Aarhus wins: 2-0 at home on 15/7/26, 2-1 at home on 2/7/25, 3-0 away on 30/6/24, 2-1 at home on 8/7/23 and 2-0 at home on 3/3/23.
We do not give the 2-2 in September much weight. It was one result in a rivalry that has clearly favoured Aarhus, and it showed that Horsens can score against them. It did not change the overall picture.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AarhusLWDWDAC HorsensLWDDDNo absences on either side
No absences are reported for Aarhus or AC Horsens, so we expect both sides to field their usual options. Nothing in the availability news changes our reading of the match.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.65 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.74 |
| Lowest odds | 1.54 | 3.74 | 4.35 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.40 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:54. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
Our Aarhus vs AC Horsens betting tip: Aarhus -0.5
Our main tip is Aarhus -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.62 (chance 60%). At -0.5 Aarhus must win by 1 or more. We like it for three reasons. Horsens have won only 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. Aarhus have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 at home in this competition. And Aarhus have won 17 of the last 31 meetings against Horsens, who have won 9. The bookmakers give Aarhus 59% at best odds of 1.62, so we are not asking you to pay a long price for a long shot.
The tip wins on 2-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 and 3-0. It loses on 1-1. A draw is the result that hurts, and 1-1 is one of the three most likely exact scores, so we are taking that risk on purpose.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 14 | 3-6-5 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 14 | 2-5-7 | 19:29 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Our second tip: Under 3.5 goals
Our second tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57 (chance 61%). The argument is narrow. Aarhus have had more than 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, and the bookmakers give the under 3.5 a 61% chance at best odds of 1.57. This tip wins on 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0 and 3-0, and loses only on 3-1.
Other prices we would consider
- Aarhus -0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.41 (chance 67%). Half the stake on Aarhus -0.5 and half on Aarhus +0. It is the more cautious way to back the home side, and it still needs Aarhus to win.
- Both teams to score at odds 1.67 (chance 57%). Horsens have scored 23 goals in this competition, so we think they can find the net. It pays on a 2-1 or a 3-1, and it fails on a 2-0.
- Under 10.5 corners at odds 1.78 (chance 53%). We have no corner figures to argue from, so this is a price-only option for those who want a controlled game.
The most likely score is 2-1
The most likely exact score is 2-1 at 9.9%, with 1-1 also at 9.9% and 2-0 at 9.5%. Aarhus win with two and Horsens get one, which fits the expected goals of about 2 and about 1. It is also the scoreline our main tip cashes on, so we would take it with a small stake and not chase a bigger price.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Aarhus -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Our estimate gives Aarhus a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Horsens 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 13:00, venue Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus. Referee: Michael Tykgaard.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: no absences. AC Horsens: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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