Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aarhus vs Viborg, 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Vejlby Stadion (Aarhus), with Mikkel Redder officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Aarhus win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Aarhus lose.
Aarhus vs Viborg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Aarhus lie 9th, having collected 12 points after 13 matches (2W 6D 5L); Viborg lie 3rd, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Aarhus average 1.4 goals for and 1.6 against, compared with 1.6 for and 0.9 against for Viborg.
- Form in the competition. Aarhus: 1W 6D 4L, goals 15–18; Viborg: 6W 2D 3L, goals 18–10.
- Head to head. In 36 previous meetings, Aarhus have taken 15 wins to Viborg's 11 wins, plus 10 draws; the goal tally stands at 49–41.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Viborg, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 36; Aarhus 15 wins, 10 draws, Viborg 11 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Aarhus 15–18, Viborg 18–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Aarhus: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Viborg will be without: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Aarhus vs Viborg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.81 |
| Market average | 2.36 | 3.55 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.27 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 16:38. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aarhus 1–1 Viborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 9th (12 points), Viborg 3rd (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 1W 6D 4L (15:18), Viborg 6W 2D 3L (18:10).
- H2H: 36 matches: Aarhus 15W 10D 11L, goals 49–41.
- Absences: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aarhus vs Viborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Aarhus vs Viborg: injuries and missing players
Aarhus
- M. Andersoninjury · will miss the match
- M. Camaranot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Kristjanssonbroken hand · will miss the match
- G. Linksknock · will miss the match
- N. PoulsenAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- K. Yakobknee injury · will miss the match
Viborg
- L. Coulibalynot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Freriksknock · will miss the match
- R. Mitchellinjury · will miss the match
- Y. Njohinjury · will miss the match
- M. Riahiknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 14 | 3-6-5 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 14 | 2-5-7 | 19:29 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Aarhus vs Viborg: last matches of both teams
Aarhus
Viborg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AarhusLWDWDViborgWLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aarhus vs Viborg?
Aarhus +0 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
Our estimate gives Aarhus a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Viborg 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus. Referee: Mikkel Redder.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Viborg: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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