AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: prediction, odds and betting tip – 14 November 2026, League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool preview and prediction

Can AFC Wimbledon turn their home ground into an advantage against a Blackpool side that has struggled on the road? That is the question this League One Matchweek 15 meeting turns on. It kicks off at 15:00 on 14 November 2026 at the Cherry Red Records Stadium in London, and the two clubs sit one place apart in the table, so the bookmakers have priced it close to even on the result. We think the home side are the better bet, and our main tip is built around them.

Wimbledon's home record against their away slide

AFC Wimbledon are 18th in this competition with 13 points from 13 matches: 3 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. Those are League One figures only, and they show a side that averages 0.7 goals per match while conceding 1.6.

The home numbers are the reason we are willing to back them. In this competition they have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 at the Cherry Red Records Stadium, scoring 3 and conceding 4. That is a modest return.

Their last five matches in all competitions tell a harsher story. They lost 2-1 at Plymouth, 5-0 at Sheffield Wednesday, 0-3 at home to Mansfield Town and 2-1 at Stockport County, and drew 1-1 at home with Wycombe. Across those five they have won none, drawn one and lost four, scoring 3 and conceding 13. The Sheffield Wednesday and Mansfield results were heavy, and we would not pretend the form is good.

Blackpool's road trips and their recent five

Blackpool are 19th with 12 points from 12 matches in this competition: 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats, 17 goals scored and 21 conceded. They score more often than Wimbledon, at 1.4 per match, but they also concede 1.8, so their attacking threat has not turned into points.

Away from home the picture is poor. Blackpool have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 on the road in this competition, scoring 5 and conceding 10.

In all competitions, their last five read: a 1-0 defeat at Cambridge United, a 2-0 defeat at Leyton Orient, a 2-0 home win over Milton Keynes Dons, a 1-4 home defeat to Mansfield Town and a 1-1 draw at Sheffield Wednesday. That is 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. The only win came at home, and that is the detail we keep returning to.

No earlier meeting and no absentees

We have no record of an earlier meeting between these two clubs, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Neither side has any reported absentees, which leaves the form in the tables and the recent results to do the work.

What the market and the handicap lines say

The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon 35% to win, a draw 27% and Blackpool 38%, with best odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.50. Blackpool are the slight favourites on the result, and the market's 8.0% margin is built into those prices. The Asian handicap lines run the same way: AFC Wimbledon at +0.5 are priced at 60%, while Blackpool at +0.5 sit at 64% with best odds of 1.48.

The exact-score view is headed by 1-1 at 12.1%, followed by 0-1 at 8.9% and 1-0 at 8.6%. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 53%, and both teams to score at 57%. These are what the bookmakers expect, not a record of how either side has performed.

Wimbledon or a draw at 1.57

Our main tip is AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) at odds 1.57, with a chance of 62%. We like it for three reasons. Blackpool have won only 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. Wimbledon sit above them, 18th with 13 points against 19th with 12. And Wimbledon's home record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in this competition backs them up at their own ground.

The bet wins on a 1-1, a 1-0, a 2-1 or a 0-0, and loses on a 0-1 or a 1-2. A home win by any margin is enough, so the tip does not need Wimbledon to be good, only to avoid losing at home. The risk is a Blackpool away win.

Our second tip: Both teams to score

Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.67, with a chance of 57%. Both teams have found the net in recent matches: Wimbledon have seen both sides score in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Blackpool in 2 of theirs. The bet wins on a 1-1, a 1-2 or a 2-1, and loses on a 0-1, a 1-0 or a 0-0. A home win without a Blackpool goal, or a goalless draw, would sink it, and we accept that risk for the price.

Three bets worth a look

• AFC Wimbledon +1 at 1.25, chance 76%. At +1 the bet wins unless Wimbledon lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. It fits neatly with the main tip.
• Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, chance 75%. The price is short, but it is a sensible way to back the goals angle of the second tip without needing both sides to score.
• Under 3.5 goals at 1.40, chance 67%. If you think the game ends with three goals or fewer, this pays a little more than the short Over 1.5 price, and it sits well alongside both tips.

Where we land on this one

We are backing Wimbledon or a draw at 1.57, and we would keep the second tip as a smaller side bet. Blackpool's only win in their last five came at home, and their away record in this competition is 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Wimbledon's home form is modest, but it is better than the alternative. Keep stakes modest, because a single result can change the picture quickly, and both sides have lost more often than they have won here.