Leicester vs Bradford: prediction, odds and betting tip – 14 November 2026, League One

Leicester vs Bradford preview and prediction

Leicester welcome Bradford to the King Power Stadium on 14 November 2026, with the game kicking off at 15:00 as part of League One Matchweek 15. The expected goals sit at 2 for Leicester and 1 for Bradford, roughly three across the match, and the most probable exact scores are 1-1 at 10.8%, 2-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 9.0%. Those are the bookmakers' figures, and they lean towards a home win while keeping a draw firmly in play. We have built our angle around that gap.

Table position against recent results

Leicester sit 10th with 19 points from this competition, built on 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats. Bradford are seventh on 22 points, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 3. These figures only reflect league play in this competition, so they say nothing about cup or other fixtures.

The last five matches across all competitions tell a different story. Leicester have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Bradford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Bradford's form has been close to the bone, and we would not treat their seventh place as proof of a side that is running away with anything.

Leicester's leaky defence against Bradford's quiet attack

Leicester score 1.7 goals per match and concede 1.5 in this competition. Bradford score 0.8 and concede 0.6. Put simply, Leicester create more and give more away, while Bradford defend well and rarely find the net.

The form guide backs that up. Over their last five, Leicester registered two shutouts, and in three of those games both sides found the net. Bradford, meanwhile, kept the opposition off the scoresheet four times in their last five, yet went four of those matches without scoring themselves. That is a team that prevents goals more reliably than it creates them, which is the main reason we favour Leicester's home attack over Bradford's chances of winning.

Meetings and injuries: little to go on

These two clubs have never met before as far as the record shows, so no head-to-head trend can guide the call. Nobody is reported out on either side, so the squad news leaves our outlook untouched. Our assessment rests on recent results, how each team performs at home, and its scoring and conceding numbers.

Where we would put our money

Our top pick is Leicester -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.85, which gives a probability of 52%. Under -0.5, Leicester need to win by at least 1 goal. Our reasoning: Leicester have collected 3 wins from their latest five matches, dropping just 1, whereas Bradford have managed only 1 win in that run. Leicester's home form in this competition reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, a record that is far from dominant yet still enough to back them at the King Power. The market prices Leicester at 52% with best odds of 1.85, meaning the value is reasonable rather than generous. This bet cashes in on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0. It fails on 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1, so any draw or Bradford victory settles it against us.

Our second tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our backup selection is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, which we rate at 64%. It isn't a daring choice, but the numbers back it up. Leicester have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last five, while Bradford have exceeded 2.5 goals in just one of their recent five outings. Bradford themselves have shut out their opponents in four of those five. The bookmakers price it at 64% with the best odds at 1.50. It also wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 and 0-1. That means it still lands if the draw that undermines our main pick actually happens.

Other bets worth a look

Three selections that sit well alongside the tips are listed below, each at the odds shown.

• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.21, chance 78%. Bookmakers rate this as the most likely of the selections listed here, and the price is low because the bet only requires two goals to land.
• Leicester or draw (1X) at odds 1.27, chance 76%. It hedges the draw scenario in which our primary selection fails to land, and the price on offer is one we consider comfortable.
• Leicester +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.32, chance 71%. The stake is split evenly between Leicester +0 and Leicester +0.5. On the +0 line, a Leicester victory pays out, a draw gives back the stake, and a loss forfeits it. The +0.5 portion collects as long as Leicester do not lose by one goal or more.

Most likely score: a draw that hurts our main tip

The single most likely exact score is 1-1, and that is the result that loses our main tip. The bookmakers' margin on the match result is 8.2%, which leaves little room for error. We still think Leicester win, and the pick is 2-1 in our view, but the draw is the score we need to respect most. The bookmakers' most likely score is 1-1.