Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Oriel Park (Dundalk), Dundalk take on Shamrock Rovers, with P. McLaughlin in charge. We make Shamrock Rovers (46%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Dundalk win, a draw. Loses: Dundalk lose.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dundalk lie 6th, having collected 45 points after 36 matches (11W 12D 13L); Shamrock Rovers lie 1st, having collected 68 points (20W 8D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Dundalk average 1.5 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.0 against for Shamrock Rovers.
- Form in the competition. Dundalk: 10W 12D 13L, goals 52–58; Shamrock Rovers: 20W 8D 7L, goals 58–35.
- Head to head. In 30 previous meetings, Dundalk have taken 12 wins to Shamrock Rovers's 12 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–40.
What to expect
In our view Shamrock Rovers hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 30; Dundalk 12 wins, 6 draws, Shamrock Rovers 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Dundalk 52–58, Shamrock Rovers 58–35.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dundalk: no absences. Shamrock Rovers will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.52 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.29 | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.28 | 1.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.25 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dundalk 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundalk 6th (45 points), Shamrock Rovers 1st (68 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundalk 10W 12D 13L (52:58), Shamrock Rovers 20W 8D 7L (58:35).
- H2H: 30 matches: Dundalk 12W 6D 12L, goals 33–40.
- Absences: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: injuries and missing players
Dundalk
- No reported absences
Shamrock Rovers
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Dundalk
Home and away
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: last matches of both teams
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
DundalkWLDLLShamrock RoversLWLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Dundalk +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our estimate gives Dundalk a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shamrock Rovers 46%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Oriel Park, Dundalk. Referee: P. McLaughlin.
Who will be missing?
Dundalk: no absences. Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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