Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu, 28 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Do Dragão (Porto), with S. Guelho officiating. The odds point to FC Porto (70%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Académico Viseu win, a draw, Académico Viseu lose by 1. Loses: Académico Viseu lose by 2 or more.
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, FC Porto have taken 5 wins to Académico Viseu's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 14–3.
What to expect
In our view FC Porto hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (12.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 6; FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draw, Académico Viseu 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.36 | 5.10 | 8.89 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 4.97 | 8.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.80 | 7.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.57 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.78 | 1.76 | 52.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Académico Viseu, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 6 matches: FC Porto 5W 1D 0L, goals 14–3.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: injuries and missing players
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Académico Viseu
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: last matches of both teams
FC Porto
Académico Viseu
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?
Académico Viseu +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?
Our estimate gives FC Porto a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Académico Viseu 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 20:30, venue Estádio Do Dragão, Porto. Referee: S. Guelho.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.5%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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