Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Girona welcome Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona), and the referee is J. Guzmán. Girona (71%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Girona lie 7th, having collected 21 points after 12 matches (6W 3D 3L); Celta de Vigo II lie 16th, having collected 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Girona have taken 1 win to Celta de Vigo II's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–1.
What to expect
In our view Girona hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 6.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.70). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.35 | 5.40 | 9.48 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.13 | 8.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Girona 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: injuries and missing players
Girona
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Girona
Home and away
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: last matches of both teams
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Under 3.5 goals (1.70); Girona to win (1.35).
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our estimate gives Girona a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Celta de Vigo II 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.
Who will be missing?
Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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