Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II, 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas), with P. Morales officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Real Sociedad II win, a draw. Loses: Real Sociedad II lose.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Las Palmas lie 11th, having collected 17 points after 12 matches (5W 2D 5L); Real Sociedad II lie 19th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Las Palmas have taken 3 wins to Real Sociedad II's 0 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–2.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Las Palmas 3 wins, 2 draws, Real Sociedad II 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.4 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.33 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.46 | 3.13 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 45.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Las Palmas 1–1 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Las Palmas 11th (17 points), Real Sociedad II 19th (11 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Las Palmas 3W 2D 0L, goals 5–2.
- Absences: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: injuries and missing players
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad II
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Las Palmas
Home and away
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: last matches of both teams
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad II
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Real Sociedad II +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our estimate gives Las Palmas a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Sociedad II 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Referee: P. Morales.
Who will be missing?
Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.78) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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