Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken, 18 October 2026 · 15:30 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö), with Glenn Nyberg, Sweden officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Malmö FF lie 7th, having collected 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L); BK Häcken lie 4th, having collected 49 points (13W 10D 4L).
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, Malmö FF have taken 8 wins to BK Häcken's 6 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 40–28.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.46), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; Malmö FF 8 wins, 9 draws, BK Häcken 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.56). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Malmö FF: no absences. BK Häcken will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.71 | 3.76 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.43 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.54 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.39 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.46 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.57 | 36.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–1 BK Häcken, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), BK Häcken 4th (49 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Malmö FF 8W 9D 6L, goals 40–28.
- Absences: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: injuries and missing players
Malmö FF
- No reported absences
BK Häcken
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: last matches of both teams
Malmö FF
BK Häcken
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Under 3.5 goals (1.65); Draw or BK Häcken (X2) (1.45).
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Our estimate gives Malmö FF a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BK Häcken 38%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: no absences. BK Häcken: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.56) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.46).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.5%) and 2–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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