Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton, 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at St James' Park (Newcastle), with J. Brooks officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Newcastle vs Everton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Newcastle lie 13th, having collected 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L); Everton lie 5th, having collected 16 points (4W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Newcastle average 1.5 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.1 against for Everton.
- Form in the competition. Newcastle: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–14; Everton: 2W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, Newcastle have taken 10 wins to Everton's 18 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 41–54.
What to expect
In our view Newcastle hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Everton, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; Newcastle 10 wins, 5 draws, Everton 18 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Newcastle 12–14, Everton 8–9.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton will be without: J. Grealish. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Newcastle vs Everton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.23 | 3.70 | 3.43 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.56 | 3.27 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.71 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.17 | 44.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.66 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newcastle 13th (11 points), Everton 5th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Newcastle 3W 2D 3L (12:14), Everton 2W 4D 2L (8:9).
- H2H: 33 matches: Newcastle 10W 5D 18L, goals 41–54.
- Absences: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Newcastle vs Everton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Newcastle vs Everton: injuries and missing players
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Fernandez-Pardoillness · doubtful
- L. Mileymuscle injury · doubtful
- W. Osulaankle injury · doubtful
Everton
- J. Grealishabsence · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Newcastle
Home and away
Newcastle vs Everton: last matches of both teams
Newcastle
Everton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
NewcastleLWLLWEvertonWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Newcastle vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals (1.77); Newcastle or draw (1X) (1.36).
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Our estimate gives Newcastle a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Everton 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 20:00, venue St James' Park, Newcastle. Referee: J. Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton: J. Grealish. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.77) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.