Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Pamplona vs Eibar (Copa del Rey, 10 November 2026, 18:00): Both teams to score: no at odds of 1.55. Second tip: Eibar to win at odds of 1.23. The bookmakers' odds give Pamplona 8%, the draw 16% and Eibar 77%. The most likely score is 0–2.
Pamplona vs Eibar preview and prediction
Will Pamplona find the net at all on 10 November? That question sits at the heart of this tie, since the bookmakers make Eibar the clear favourites and the goals markets are priced closer to the middle of the board. Pamplona welcome Eibar to the Copa del Rey round 128 fixture, with kick-off at 18:00, and the venue is the Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea. In our view, the goals angle deserves more of your attention than the result itself.
The key facts
- Likely result: Pamplona 0–2 Eibar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Pamplona 0, Eibar 0.
Pamplona's price tells the story
The home side sits well down the betting board. Pamplona to win is priced at 8%, with the best available odds at 14.00, while a draw carries 16% (best odds 6.60). Those figures reflect what the bookmakers expect, and they leave very little value for a home result. We would not back Pamplona at these prices. We also hold no recent results for the hosts in our data, so this view rests on the market alone.
Who will win Pamplona vs Eibar?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Eibar's five games and the away problem
Eibar arrive with a patchy recent record in all competitions. On 3 October they beat Albacete 3-1, but they then fell 3-1 at Oviedo on 12 October. A 1-1 home draw with Mallorca came on 17 October, followed by a 2-0 loss at Córdoba on 24 October and a 1-1 home draw with Almería on 31 October.
Across their last five, Eibar have taken a single victory alongside two draws and two losses. They have found the net six times and conceded eight. Both sides netted in four of those games, and two of them produced over 2.5 goals. The only match without an Eibar goal was the defeat to Córdoba. The venue is what stands out: their lone win came away, both of their defeats did too, and each home match ended level. Scoring is not the concern here. Away from home, they are simply not keeping the scoreline tight.
The two clubs have never met before
There is no record of any previous fixture between these two sides, which leaves no head-to-head trend to draw on. No absences have been flagged for either team. Lacking past meetings and injury concerns, the call rests on Eibar's recent results and the odds on offer, and those odds point in a fairly obvious direction.
What the lines say about the goals
Odds-makers foresee roughly three goals across the game, with Pamplona scoring about 1 and Eibar about 2. Over 2.5 goals sits at a 55% chance (best odds 1.73), whereas under 2.5 is at 45% (best odds 2.15). For both sides to find the net, the probability is 37% (best odds 2.64), and for a clean sheet by at least one side it is 63% (best odds 1.55). The likeliest exact outcomes are 0-2 (15.3%), 0-1 (13.3%) and 0-3 (11.7%). On the result, the house edge comes to 8.0%, a fairly hefty cost for a 1X2 market.
Pamplona vs Eibar: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 14.00 | 6.60 | 1.23 |
| Market average | 12.25 | 5.97 | 1.21 |
| Lowest odds | 9.01 | 5.41 | 1.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.62 | 35.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.64 | 2.50 | 37.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.55 | 1.47 | 62.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 17:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.0%.
Pamplona vs Eibar: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
both teams not to score
Our top pick is BTTS: no at odds 1.55 (chance 63%). Bookmakers price it at 63% with best odds of 1.55, which forms the foundation of our reasoning. It wins on the most probable scorelines 0-2, 0-1, 0-3 and 0-4, while 1-2 and 1-1 would lose. The first three of those scores are the three most likely on the bookmakers' list, so we feel confident backing it. The principal danger is a home goal, and Eibar's away form hints that the visitors won't always stop Pamplona from scoring.
Pamplona vs Eibar: last matches of both teams
Pamplona
Eibar
Pamplona vs Eibar: injuries and missing players
Pamplona
- No reported absences
Eibar
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Our second tip: Eibar to win
Our number two pick is Eibar to win at odds 1.23 (chance 77%). The market prices it at 77% with best odds of 1.23, which makes it the result bookmakers consider most probable. Across the likeliest scorelines it comes out on top with 0-2, 0-1, 0-3, 1-2 and 0-4, and only a 1-1 draw breaks the pattern. The return is slim, so we would keep the stake modest. It is a solid selection, but we would prefer to chase a larger payout elsewhere.
Other bets we would consider
If you want to add something, these are the two we like from the available lines:
- Eibar -1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.32 (chance 72%): at -1 Eibar needs a margin of at least two goals; if they win by just one, the stake comes back.
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44 (chance 65%): this number reflects the bookmakers' outlook. It matches the projected total of roughly three goals and fits alongside the main tip without contradicting it.
Verdict on the tie
Our main selection is BTTS: no, paired with Eibar to win. Both picks hinge on the same risk: a 1-1 scoreline would sink them together, so size the stakes accordingly. Prefer a larger wager on this narrative? The -1 handicap is our choice for that. Hold your stakes to a level you can comfortably afford, since the favourite's odds offer a narrow margin for mistakes.
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Pamplona vs Eibar?
Both teams to score: no (1.55); Eibar to win (1.23).
Who will win Pamplona vs Eibar?
Our estimate gives Pamplona a 8% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Eibar 77%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 10 November 2026 at 18:00, venue Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea.
Who will be missing?
Pamplona: no absences. Eibar: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 37% (odds 2.64).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (15.3%), then 0–1 (13.3%) and 0–3 (11.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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