Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall, 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), with Tom Reeves, England officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Millwall win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Millwall lose.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Portsmouth lie 10th, having collected 22 points after 14 matches (6W 4D 4L); Millwall lie 13th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Portsmouth average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.6 against for Millwall.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 4W 3D 4L, goals 14–14; Millwall: 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Portsmouth have taken 3 wins to Millwall's 6 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 10–11.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Portsmouth 3 wins, 0 draws, Millwall 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Portsmouth 14–14, Millwall 18–18.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall will be without: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.27 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.32 | 28.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 10th (22 points), Millwall 13th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 4W 3D 4L (14:14), Millwall 4W 3D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Portsmouth 3W 0D 6L, goals 10–11.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Portsmouth vs Millwall: injuries and missing players
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Umehhamstring injury · will miss the match
Millwall
- J. Coburnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Arconteankle injury · doubtful
- M. Ivanovichamstring injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Home and away
Portsmouth vs Millwall: last matches of both teams
Portsmouth
Millwall
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthWDWDWMillwallLWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Millwall +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Our estimate gives Portsmouth a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Millwall 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Tom Reeves, England.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.0%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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