Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for ST Mirren vs Rangers (Scottish Premiership, 7 November 2026, 20:00): ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.79. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60. The bookmakers' odds give ST Mirren 13%, the draw 19% and Rangers 67%. The most likely score is 0–2.
Wins: ST Mirren win, a draw, ST Mirren lose by 1. Loses: ST Mirren lose by 2 or more.
ST Mirren vs Rangers preview and prediction
Our pick is St Mirren +1.5 at 1.75 odds, which gives them a 56 per cent chance. All the line requires is that St Mirren lose by no more than one goal. Bookmakers expect Rangers to control this game, and that is exactly why we favour taking the underdog with the extra margin.
The key facts
- Likely result: ST Mirren 0–2 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 2D 6L (12:20), Rangers 7W 3D 1L (19:9).
- H2H: 38 matches: ST Mirren 4W 5D 29L, goals 26–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Rangers 0.
Can Paisley keep Rangers to a goal?
Rangers occupy second place in the Scottish Premiership with 24 points from 11 games, built on 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 19 goals scored and 9 let in. St Mirren, in eighth, have 14 points from 12 matches, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, and a goals tally of 12 for and 20 against. These are league figures only, so a cup or European result would not appear in them.
The gap between the two sides per match is the most telling part of the data. St Mirren have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.7 in this competition, whereas Rangers have scored 1.7 and conceded 0.8. Rangers have been especially difficult to beat on the road, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing none. Closer to home, St Mirren's record reads won 2, drawn 2, lost 2, and it is the figure that stands out most in our analysis.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Rangers?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Recent form, and where it leans
St Mirren have struggled across their recent run, which spans five matches in every competition. A heavy 5-0 setback came first, away to Heart Of Midlothian, followed by a 3-1 loss in Aberdeen. They then picked up a 2-1 home win over Dundee, shared the points in a 1-1 draw at home to Hibernian, and fell 1-0 to Motherwell. Overall, that is 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 11 conceded. The scoring was shared in three of them.
Rangers arrive in the stronger condition. Over all competitions, their last five matches yielded 3 wins and 2 draws without a single defeat: a 1-0 victory at Celtic, a 3-1 win over Kilmarnock on home soil, a 4-0 rout of St Johnstone in their own stadium, and 2-2 draws away at Dundee and Heart Of Midlothian. Across that spell they found the net 12 times and shipped 5.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
ST Mirren vs Rangers: last matches of both teams
ST Mirren
Rangers
A rivalry that has rarely gone St Mirren's way
Rangers have taken 29 of the last 38 head-to-head meetings, against 4 wins for St Mirren, with five ending level. Goals reflect that gap: 80 scored by Rangers and 26 by St Mirren. Rangers were also the side celebrating in both latest encounters, a 1-0 win on 9 September 2026 and a 5-1 win on 16 August 2026, and they edged a 1-0 result at the SMISA on 15 March 2026. Given that record, we see no case for siding with St Mirren to take the match outright, yet we do see value in them keeping the losing margin small.
Head to head
All matchesIs anyone missing?
Neither team has any reported injuries or suspensions, which leaves the line-ups with nothing that needs adjusting.
ST Mirren vs Rangers: injuries and missing players
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Rangers
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ST MirrenLDWLLRangersDWDWWWhat the prices are telling us
Bookmaker pricing makes Rangers the favourite, with a implied probability of 66 per cent and a best price of 1.44. A draw is given 19 per cent, while St Mirren sit at 15 per cent with a top price of 6.89. The overround on the 1X2 market comes to 7.9 per cent. Projected goals run St Mirren 1, Rangers 2, roughly 3 combined, and the likeliest exact scores are 0-2, 1-2 and 0-1. For the handicap, St Mirren +1.5 is implied at 56 per cent, against 44 per cent for Rangers -1.5.
Our ST Mirren vs Rangers betting tip: ST Mirren +1.5
Our top pick is this one. The +1.5 line pays out as long as St Mirren do not lose by two or more goals, meaning a single-goal loss, a draw or a victory all leave the stake in play. Winning scorelines include 0-1, 1-1 and 1-2, while 0-2, 0-3 and 1-3 result in a loss.
St Mirren have a home record of two wins, two draws and two losses in this tournament, and the bookmakers' implied probability sits at 56 per cent, with the top price at 1.75. A straight St Mirren success at 6.89 holds no appeal for us, since the lines point to Rangers as the stronger side to finish on top. Our focus is on the spread, and a selection that still pays if St Mirren drop a single goal is the smarter route.
ST Mirren vs Rangers: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Over 2.5 goals
Our second pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, which gives a 61 per cent probability. Winning scores are 1-2, 0-3 and 1-3, while the losing ones are 0-2, 0-1 and 1-1.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 3 of St Mirren's last 5 outings across every competition, while Rangers have cleared the mark in 4 of theirs. With the projected total close to 3, the odds carry much of the decision: over 2.5 is priced at 1.57, so we would back it instead of the under at 2.53.
Alternative wagers worth a look
We list our two main picks at the top, followed by the additional bets we rate at the current odds:
- ST Mirren +2 (Asian handicap) at 1.42, with a 69 percent probability. The bet only loses if St Mirren are beaten by 3 or more goals, and a defeat by exactly two goals gives the stake back.
- Under 3.5 goals at 1.60, chance 60 per cent, in line with an anticipated total near 3.
- Over 9.5 corners at 1.55, chance 60 per cent.
ST Mirren vs Rangers: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.75 | 5.22 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.00 | 4.89 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.53 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
Rangers should win, but not comfortably
Rangers look like the side to beat here, and the odds make them clear favourites for good reason. Our view is that St Mirren won't get overrun, and the handicap suits that scenario well. We'd avoid the straight win and the larger Rangers lines. Our selections are St Mirren +1.5 at 1.75 and over 2.5 goals at 1.57.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ST Mirren vs Rangers?
ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Over 2.5 goals (1.60).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Rangers?
Our estimate gives ST Mirren a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rangers 67%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 20:00, venue The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Rangers: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.78).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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