Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren welcome Hibernian on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Hibernian win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Hibernian lose.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. ST Mirren lie 8th, having collected 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L); Hibernian lie 12th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, ST Mirren average 1.1 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.6 against for Hibernian.
- Form in the competition. ST Mirren: 4W 1D 5L, goals 11–18; Hibernian: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–16.
- Head to head. In 53 previous meetings, ST Mirren have taken 12 wins to Hibernian's 25 wins, plus 16 draws; the goal tally stands at 57–80.
What to expect
In our view Hibernian hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the ST Mirren, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 53; ST Mirren 12 wins, 16 draws, Hibernian 25 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: ST Mirren 11–18, Hibernian 10–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.89). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.30 | 3.53 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 3.01 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Hibernian 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 1D 5L (11:18), Hibernian 2W 1D 7L (10:16).
- H2H: 53 matches: ST Mirren 12W 16D 25L, goals 57–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: injuries and missing players
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Hibernian
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: last matches of both teams
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ST MirrenLDWLLHibernianDLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Hibernian -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Our estimate gives ST Mirren a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Hibernian 43%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.89) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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