Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria), Torreense take on Ararat-Armenia, with Miloš Milanović in charge. We make Torreense (56%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Torreense win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Torreense win by 1. Loses: a draw, Torreense lose.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Torreense lie 19th, having collected 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L); Ararat-Armenia lie 36th, having collected 0 points (0W 0D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Torreense average 1.3 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 0.8 for and 2.4 against for Ararat-Armenia.
- Form in the competition. Torreense: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–7; Ararat-Armenia: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–12.
What to expect
In our view Torreense hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.91), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Torreense 4–7, Ararat-Armenia 4–12.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Torreense: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia will be without: P. Ayongo. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.73 | 3.99 | 5.30 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 3.81 | 4.96 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.56 | 4.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.39 | 27.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Torreense 1–0 Ararat-Armenia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torreense 19th (6 points), Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Torreense 1W 0D 2L (4:7), Ararat-Armenia 1W 1D 3L (4:12).
- Absences: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: injuries and missing players
Torreense
- A. Baradjiinjury · will miss the match
Ararat-Armenia
- P. Ayongonot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Torreense
Home and away
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: last matches of both teams
Torreense
Ararat-Armenia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
TorreenseWLLWArarat-ArmeniaLLLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Torreense -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 2.5 goals (1.91).
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our estimate gives Torreense a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria. Referee: Miloš Milanović.
Who will be missing?
Torreense: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia: P. Ayongo. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.00) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.6%), then 1–1 (11.4%) and 2–0 (10.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.