Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town, 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at UCD Bowl (Dublin). The odds point to UCD (48%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Longford Town win, a draw. Stake back: Longford Town lose by 1. Loses: Longford Town lose by 2 or more.
UCD vs Longford Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. UCD lie 2nd, having collected 56 points after 36 matches (16W 8D 12L); Longford Town lie 5th, having collected 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, UCD average 1.9 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.3 against for Longford Town.
- Form in the competition. UCD: 17W 8D 12L, goals 69–51; Longford Town: 14W 10D 13L, goals 49–48.
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, UCD have taken 10 wins to Longford Town's 3 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–16.
What to expect
In our view UCD hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; UCD 10 wins, 5 draws, Longford Town 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: UCD 69–51, Longford Town 49–48.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for UCD: no absences. Longford Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
UCD vs Longford Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.42 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.20 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.40 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 40.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: UCD 1–1 Longford Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: UCD 2nd (56 points), Longford Town 5th (52 points).
- Form in the competition: UCD 17W 8D 12L (69:51), Longford Town 14W 10D 13L (49:48).
- H2H: 18 matches: UCD 10W 5D 3L, goals 26–16.
- Absences: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
UCD vs Longford Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
UCD vs Longford Town: injuries and missing players
UCD
- No reported absences
Longford Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
UCD
Home and away
UCD vs Longford Town: last matches of both teams
UCD
Longford Town
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
UCDWWWWDLongford TownLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for UCD vs Longford Town?
Longford Town +1 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
Our estimate gives UCD a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Longford Town 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue UCD Bowl, Dublin.
Who will be missing?
UCD: no absences. Longford Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.