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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Allsvenskan

1AIK Stockholm3.57
XDraw3.90
2IF Elfsborg2.16

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 16:02

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg, 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Strawberry Arena (Solna), with Sars Joakim officiating. The odds point to IF Elfsborg (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: tip and prediction
Main tip · Result
AIK Stockholm or draw (1X)
1.87
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. AIK Stockholm lie 8th, having collected 38 points after 27 matches (10W 8D 9L); IF Elfsborg lie 5th, having collected 46 points (12W 10D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, AIK Stockholm average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.0 against for IF Elfsborg.
  3. Form in the competition. AIK Stockholm: 10W 7D 8L, goals 40–43; IF Elfsborg: 11W 9D 5L, goals 37–24.
  4. Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, AIK Stockholm have taken 10 wins to IF Elfsborg's 6 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 40–34.

What to expect

In our view IF Elfsborg hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 23; AIK Stockholm 10 wins, 7 draws, IF Elfsborg 6 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: AIK Stockholm 40–43, IF Elfsborg 37–24.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
  5. Unavailable: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg will be without: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.573.902.16
Market average3.373.711.97
Lowest odds2.963.291.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1580.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.5660.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3539.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3439.6%
BTTS – yes1.531.4962.0%
BTTS – no2.552.4438.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 16:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: AIK Stockholm 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
  • Form in the competition: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 8L (40:43), IF Elfsborg 11W 9D 5L (37:24).
  • H2H: 23 matches: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 6L, goals 40–34.
  • Absences: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.

Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

AIK Stockholm28%
Draw25%
IF Elfsborg47%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or IF Elfsborg (X2)72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Both teams to score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.1% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.63
Likely
IF Elfsborg to win47.2% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.16
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.9% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.46
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.47
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
AIK Stockholm to win27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.57
Outsider
Draw25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.3%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 18.3%
0 : 27.3%
2 : 17.0%
1 : 06.2%

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: injuries and missing players

AIK Stockholm

  • D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
  • I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
  • K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match

IF Elfsborg

  • V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hammarby FF2818-4-660:2358
2Sirius2718-4-558:3458
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2812-10-642:3146
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2710-8-943:4738
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais2710-7-1034:2737
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF276-9-1230:4327
13Kalmar FF276-5-1623:4223
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad274-5-1818:5117

Recent matches

AIK Stockholm

2 NovLGais 2–1 AIK Stockholm
27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
24 OctWSirius 1–2 AIK Stockholm
17 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IFK Göteborg
10 OctLAIK Stockholm 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna

IF Elfsborg

6 NovLHammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg
1 NovWIF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS
27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
23 OctDIF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF
18 OctDSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Home and away

AIK Stockholm at home13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 21–29
IF Elfsborg away14 matches: 4W 6D 4L, goals 19–21

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: last matches of both teams

AIK Stockholm

L 2/11/26 · Gais 2–1 AIK Stockholm
W 24/10/26 · Sirius 1–2 AIK Stockholm
D 17/10/26 · AIK Stockholm 2–2 IFK Göteborg
L 10/10/26 · AIK Stockholm 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna

IF Elfsborg

L 6/11/26 · Hammarby FF 4–1 IF Elfsborg
W 1/11/26 · IF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS
D 23/10/26 · IF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF
D 18/10/26 · Sirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Team comparison

AIK StockholmIF Elfsborg
31%Form69%
55%Attack45%
20%Defence80%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
46.5%Overall53.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

AIK StockholmLDWDL
IF ElfsborgLWDDD

Head to head

All matches
10AIK Stockholm
7Draws
6IF Elfsborg
27/10/26 · AIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
3/5/26 · IF Elfsborg 1–1 AIK Stockholm
21/3/26 · IF Elfsborg 3–2 AIK Stockholm
2/11/25 · IF Elfsborg 0–3 AIK Stockholm
27/4/25 · AIK Stockholm 2–0 IF Elfsborg
27/10/24 · AIK Stockholm 2–1 IF Elfsborg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

AIK Stockholm or draw (1X) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.53).

Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

Our estimate gives AIK Stockholm a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and IF Elfsborg 47%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Strawberry Arena, Solna. Referee: Sars Joakim.

Who will be missing?

AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 NovDegerfors IF vs Gais 7 NovIFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 NovHalmstad vs Djurgårdens IF 8 NovIF Brommapojkarna vs Mjällby AIF 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.