Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius welcome IF Elfsborg on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala), and the referee is Adi Aganovic, Sweden. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Sirius win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Sirius lose.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sirius lie 2nd, having collected 58 points after 27 matches (18W 4D 5L); IF Elfsborg lie 5th, having collected 46 points (12W 10D 6L).
- Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Sirius have taken 9 wins to IF Elfsborg's 8 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 41–36.
What to expect
In our view Sirius hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 21; Sirius 9 wins, 4 draws, IF Elfsborg 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.7 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sirius: no absences. IF Elfsborg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.21 | 3.59 | 3.20 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.46 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.69 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 08:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sirius 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 2nd (58 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Sirius 9W 4D 8L, goals 41–36.
- Absences: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: injuries and missing players
Sirius
- No reported absences
IF Elfsborg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Sirius
Home and away
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: last matches of both teams
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Sirius -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Our estimate gives Sirius a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and IF Elfsborg 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 13:00, venue Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. IF Elfsborg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.8%), then 1–0 (9.4%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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