Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo, 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at UD Almería Stadium (Almería), with G. Cid officiating. The odds point to Almería (56%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Almería win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Almería win by 1. Loses: a draw, Almería lose.
Almería vs Oviedo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Almería lie 2nd, having collected 26 points after 12 matches (8W 2D 2L); Oviedo lie 9th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Almería have taken 5 wins to Oviedo's 6 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–22.
What to expect
In our view Almería hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Almería 5 wins, 6 draws, Oviedo 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Almería: no absences. Oviedo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Almería vs Oviedo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.72 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.78 | 4.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.98 | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.99 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Almería 1–0 Oviedo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Almería 2nd (26 points), Oviedo 9th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Almería 5W 6D 6L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Almería vs Oviedo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Almería vs Oviedo: injuries and missing players
Almería
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Almería
Home and away
Almería vs Oviedo: last matches of both teams
Almería
Oviedo
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Almería vs Oviedo?
Almería -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
Our estimate gives Almería a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oviedo 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 20:00, venue UD Almería Stadium, Almería. Referee: G. Cid.
Who will be missing?
Almería: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (11.5%), then 1–1 (10.9%) and 2–0 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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