Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar), Eibar take on Almería, with D. Miranda in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Eibar vs Almería: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Eibar lie 3rd, having collected 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L); Almería lie 2nd, having collected 26 points (8W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Eibar average 1.8 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 2.0 for and 0.8 against for Almería.
- Form in the competition. Eibar: 7W 1D 3L, goals 20–13; Almería: 8W 1D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Eibar have taken 5 wins to Almería's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–10.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Eibar 5 wins, 2 draws, Almería 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Eibar 20–13, Almería 22–9.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Eibar: no absences. Almería will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Eibar vs Almería: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.54 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.65 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.52 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:56. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Eibar 1–1 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Eibar 3rd (23 points), Almería 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Eibar 7W 1D 3L (20:13), Almería 8W 1D 2L (22:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Eibar 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Absences: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Eibar vs Almería: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Eibar vs Almería: injuries and missing players
Eibar
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Eibar
Home and away
Eibar vs Almería: last matches of both teams
Eibar
Almería
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
EibarDLDLWAlmeríaDDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Eibar vs Almería?
Over 2.5 goals (1.80); Eibar or draw (1X) (1.48).
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
Our estimate gives Eibar a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Almería 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:15, venue Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
Eibar: no absences. Almería: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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