Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Amiens welcome Thionville Lusitanos on 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de la Licorne (Amiens). Amiens (55%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Thionville Lusitanos win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Thionville Lusitanos lose by 1. Loses: Thionville Lusitanos lose by 2 or more.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Amiens lie 8th, having collected 17 points after 11 matches (4W 5D 2L); Thionville Lusitanos lie 12th, having collected 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Amiens average 1.3 goals for and 0.4 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.6 against for Thionville Lusitanos.
- Form in the competition. Amiens: 4W 4D 2L, goals 13–4; Thionville Lusitanos: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Amiens have taken 0 wins to Thionville Lusitanos's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 1–1.
What to expect
In our view Amiens hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Amiens 0 wins, 1 draw, Thionville Lusitanos 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Amiens 13–4, Thionville Lusitanos 15–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Amiens: no absences. Thionville Lusitanos will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.72 | 4.13 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 3.65 | 4.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.58 | 3.26 | 4.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.80 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Amiens 8th (17 points), Thionville Lusitanos 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Amiens 4W 4D 2L (13:4), Thionville Lusitanos 3W 3D 4L (15:16).
- H2H: 1 match: Amiens 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: injuries and missing players
Amiens
- No reported absences
Thionville Lusitanos
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 | Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Amiens
Home and away
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: last matches of both teams
Amiens
Thionville Lusitanos
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AmiensDDWDWThionville LusitanosDLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Thionville Lusitanos +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our estimate gives Amiens a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Thionville Lusitanos 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade de la Licorne, Amiens.
Who will be missing?
Amiens: no absences. Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.84) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.