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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Tordesillas
3–3
Mirandés
1Atlético Tordesillas5.25
XDraw3.95
2Mirandés1.71

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés, 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Las Salinas. The odds point to Mirandés (56%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.95
Chance 50% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Mirandés to win
1.71
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Combo
Mirandés with over 2.5 goals
2.93
34% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Mirandés (X2) at a probability of 81%, with odds of up to 1.18.
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Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Mirandés hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.

    On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
    2. Unavailable: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

    Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Atlético Tordesillas: no absences. Mirandés will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available5.253.951.71
    Market average4.853.801.66
    Lowest odds4.603.601.62
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.281.2673.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.901.8450.8%
    Under 2.5 goals1.941.9049.2%
    Over 3.5 goals3.253.0230.5%
    BTTS – yes1.951.8350.5%
    BTTS – no1.911.8749.5%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Atlético Tordesillas 0–1 Mirandés, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

    Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Atlético Tordesillas19%
    Draw25%
    Mirandés56%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: more betting tips

    Draw or Mirandés (X2)80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.35
    Likely
    Mirandés to win56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.71
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.90
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.94
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.25
    Outsider
    Draw24.5% · fair odds 4.08 · best 3.95
    Outsider
    Atlético Tordesillas to win19.2% · fair odds 5.20 · best 5.25
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
    probability of over 50.0%

    Correct score tips

    0 : 111.8%
    1 : 111.2%
    0 : 210.3%
    1 : 29.8%
    0 : 06.7%
    1 : 06.4%

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: injuries and missing players

    Atlético Tordesillas

    • No reported absences

    Mirandés

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.4%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Both teams to score (1.95); Mirandés to win (1.71).

    Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Our estimate gives Atlético Tordesillas a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mirandés 56%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio Las Salinas.

    Who will be missing?

    Atlético Tordesillas: no absences. Mirandés: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.94).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.95).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 0–1 (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 0–2 (10.3%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.