Football
Home › Predictions › Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC
League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

3–0
1Bray Wanderers1.93
XDraw3.80
2Kerry FC3.73

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC, 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Carlisle Grounds (Bray). The odds point to Bray Wanderers (48%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Kerry FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.92
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Kerry FC win, a draw. Loses: Kerry FC lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bray Wanderers or draw (1X) at a probability of 74%, with odds of up to 1.30.
Freshbet100% UP TO £1500
Bet now →

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Bray Wanderers lie 3rd, having collected 54 points after 36 matches (15W 9D 12L); Kerry FC lie 4th, having collected 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Bray Wanderers average 1.9 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.2 against for Kerry FC.
  3. Form in the competition. Bray Wanderers: 16W 9D 12L, goals 69–54; Kerry FC: 14W 10D 13L, goals 46–43.
  4. Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Bray Wanderers have taken 14 wins to Kerry FC's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 42–22.

What to expect

In our view Bray Wanderers hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 18; Bray Wanderers 14 wins, 2 draws, Kerry FC 2 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.6 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Bray Wanderers 69–54, Kerry FC 46–43.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  5. Unavailable: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Bray Wanderers: no absences. Kerry FC will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.933.803.73
Market average1.883.603.43
Lowest odds1.753.253.06
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1678.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.5958.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.1942.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.3938.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.0%
BTTS – no2.402.2840.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.4%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Bray Wanderers 1–1 Kerry FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points), Kerry FC 4th (52 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bray Wanderers 16W 9D 12L (69:54), Kerry FC 14W 10D 13L (46:43).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Bray Wanderers 14W 2D 2L, goals 42–22.
  • Absences: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Bray Wanderers48%
Draw25%
Kerry FC26%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Bray Wanderers or draw (1X)73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.64
Possible
Bray Wanderers to win48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both teams to score: no40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.56
Outsider
Kerry FC to win26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.73
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.5%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 07.6%
1 : 26.8%
0 : 16.2%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: injuries and missing players

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Home and away

Bray Wanderers at home18 matches: 10W 6D 2L, goals 44–23
Kerry FC away18 matches: 5W 4D 9L, goals 21–26

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: last matches of both teams

Bray Wanderers

L 1/11/26 · Bray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
W 24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
L 16/10/26 · Finn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
D 9/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Kerry FC

L 24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
D 16/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–1 Cork City
W 9/10/26 · Cobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
W 2/10/26 · Finn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Team comparison

Bray WanderersKerry FC
41%Form59%
53%Attack47%
29%Defence71%
71%Head to head29%
47%Goals53%
50.8%Overall49.2%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Bray WanderersLWWLD
Kerry FCLLDWW

Head to head

All matches
14Bray Wanderers
2Draws
2Kerry FC
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Kerry FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Our estimate gives Bray Wanderers a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kerry FC 26%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Carlisle Grounds, Bray.

Who will be missing?

Bray Wanderers: no absences. Kerry FC: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.64) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.