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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:45

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: prediction, odds and betting tip – 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

1–2
1Kerry FC3.02
XDraw3.61
2Bray Wanderers2.58

Top price available · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kerry FC welcome Bray Wanderers on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Mounthawk Park (Tralee). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Bray Wanderers +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.78
Chance 60% · confidence medium

Wins: Bray Wanderers win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Bray Wanderers lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
Chance 57% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Kerry FC lie 4th, having collected 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L); Bray Wanderers lie 3rd, having collected 54 points (15W 9D 12L).
  2. Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Kerry FC have taken 2 wins to Bray Wanderers's 14 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–42.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.65), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 18; Kerry FC 2 wins, 2 draws, Bray Wanderers 14 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.6 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  4. Unavailable: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.78). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Kerry FC: no absences. Bray Wanderers will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.023.612.58
Market average2.723.362.30
Lowest odds2.163.002.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2175.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7353.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9746.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7533.1%
BTTS – yes1.651.5957.2%
BTTS – no2.202.1342.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.7%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Kerry FC 1–1 Bray Wanderers, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Kerry FC 4th (52 points), Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Kerry FC 2W 2D 14L, goals 22–42.
  • Absences: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry FC34%
Draw27%
Bray Wanderers39%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.49
Likely
Both teams to score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams to score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.20
Outsider
Bray Wanderers to win39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.58
Outsider
Kerry FC to win33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 3.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.61
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.9%
0 : 18.8%
1 : 28.6%
1 : 08.2%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 26.4%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: injuries and missing players

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Home and away

Kerry FC at home18 matches: 9W 6D 3L, goals 24–15
Bray Wanderers away18 matches: 5W 3D 10L, goals 23–30

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: last matches of both teams

Kerry FC

L 27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
D 16/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–1 Cork City
W 9/10/26 · Cobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
W 2/10/26 · Finn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Bray Wanderers

L 1/11/26 · Bray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
W 27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
L 16/10/26 · Finn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
D 9/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Head to head

All matches
2Kerry FC
2Draws
14Bray Wanderers
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Bray Wanderers +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.65).

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Our estimate gives Kerry FC a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bray Wanderers 39%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Mounthawk Park, Tralee.

Who will be missing?

Kerry FC: no absences. Bray Wanderers: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.78) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.65).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.