Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cádiz welcome AD Ceuta FC on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at JP Financial Estadio (Cádiz), and the referee is A. Fuentes. Cádiz (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cádiz lie 20th, having collected 10 points after 12 matches (2W 4D 6L); AD Ceuta FC lie 22nd, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Cádiz have taken 1 win to AD Ceuta FC's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 5–9.
What to expect
In our view Cádiz hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Cádiz 1 win, 1 draw, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.39 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.33 | 3.19 | 29.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.06 | 2.02 | 45.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cádiz 20th (10 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Cádiz 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9.
- Absences: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: injuries and missing players
Cádiz
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cádiz
Home and away
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: last matches of both teams
Cádiz
AD Ceuta FC
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Draw or AD Ceuta FC (X2) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our estimate gives Cádiz a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and AD Ceuta FC 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 15:15, venue JP Financial Estadio, Cádiz. Referee: A. Fuentes.
Who will be missing?
Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.0%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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