Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Castellonense welcome Almería on 27 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia. Almería (65%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Almería win by 2 or more. Stake back: Almería win by 1. Loses: a draw, Almería lose.
Castellonense vs Almería: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Almería hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (12.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Castellonense: no absences. Almería will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Castellonense vs Almería: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.22 | 4.60 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.73 | 4.29 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 6.09 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.02 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.76 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 50.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Castellonense 0–2 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Castellonense vs Almería: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Castellonense vs Almería: injuries and missing players
Castellonense
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Castellonense vs Almería: last matches of both teams
Castellonense
Almería
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Castellonense vs Almería?
Almería -1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
Our estimate gives Castellonense a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almería 65%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 18:45, venue Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Who will be missing?
Castellonense: no absences. Almería: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (12.2%), then 0–1 (12.2%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.