Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Celje welcome Red Bull Salzburg on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Z’dežele (Celje), and the referee is John Brooks. Red Bull Salzburg (63%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Celje win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Celje lose by 1. Loses: Celje lose by 2 or more.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Celje lie 25th, having collected 4 points after 4 matches (1W 1D 2L); Red Bull Salzburg lie 26th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Celje have taken 0 wins to Red Bull Salzburg's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–2.
What to expect
In our view Red Bull Salzburg hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Celje 0 wins, 1 draw, Red Bull Salzburg 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Celje: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.25 | 4.85 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.90 | 4.57 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.50 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.52 | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Celje 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celje 25th (4 points), Red Bull Salzburg 26th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Celje 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: injuries and missing players
Celje
- No reported absences
Red Bull Salzburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celje
Home and away
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: last matches of both teams
Celje
Red Bull Salzburg
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Celje +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our estimate gives Celje a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Red Bull Salzburg 63%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Stadion Z’dežele, Celje. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Celje: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.9%), then 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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