Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como vs Manchester United, 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), with Sven Jablonski, Germany officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Manchester United win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Manchester United lose.
Como vs Manchester United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Como lie 4th, having collected 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L); Manchester United lie 17th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Como have taken 1 win to Manchester United's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–1.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Como 1 win, 0 draws, Manchester United 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 5.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Como: no absences. Manchester United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Como vs Manchester United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.49 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.53 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.37 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.58 | 36.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Como 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (9 points), Manchester United 17th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Como 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
- Absences: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Como vs Manchester United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Como vs Manchester United: injuries and missing players
Como
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 | |
| 9 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 | |
| 10 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 | |
| 12 | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 | |
| 23 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 | |
| 28 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 | |
| 29 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 | |
| 32 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Manchester United: last matches of both teams
Como
Manchester United
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Como vs Manchester United?
Manchester United +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
Our estimate gives Como a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Manchester United 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Como: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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