Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como welcome Venezia on 1 November 2026 · 11:30 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), and the referee is Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi. Como (72%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Como win by 2 or more. Loses: Como win by 1, a draw, Como lose.
Como vs Venezia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Como lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L); Venezia lie 19th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Como average 1.9 goals for and 0.9 against, compared with 0.7 for and 2.1 against for Venezia.
- Form in the competition. Como: 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–8; Venezia: 1W 0D 8L, goals 6–19.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Como have taken 3 wins to Venezia's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–10.
What to expect
In our view Como hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Como 3 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Como 17–8, Venezia 6–19.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Como: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Venezia will be without: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Como vs Venezia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.35 | 6.12 | 9.50 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.79 | 8.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 5.13 | 6.86 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.38 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.01 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 06:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Como 2–0 Venezia, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Venezia 19th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 6W 2D 1L (17:8), Venezia 1W 0D 8L (6:19).
- H2H: 7 matches: Como 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Como vs Venezia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Como vs Venezia: injuries and missing players
Como
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
- T. Chalobahinjury · doubtful
- M. Liberalicalf injury · doubtful
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · doubtful
- T. J. Helgasoninjury · doubtful
- P. Mazzocchiinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Venezia: last matches of both teams
Como
Venezia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDVeneziaWLLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Como vs Venezia?
Como -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
Our estimate gives Como a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Venezia 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 11:30, venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.
Who will be missing?
Como: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Venezia: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.41) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (9.8%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 3–0 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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