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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:30

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Don Benito
2–4
Extremadura 1924
1Don Benito3.90
XDraw3.80
2Extremadura 19241.96

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924, 27 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Vicente Sanz (Don Benito). The odds point to Extremadura 1924 (49%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.90
Chance 51% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Extremadura 1924 to win
1.96
Chance 49% · confidence low
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2) at a probability of 75%, with odds of up to 1.29.
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Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Extremadura 1924 hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.

    On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
    2. Unavailable: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Don Benito: no absences. Extremadura 1924 will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available3.903.801.96
    Market average3.753.521.91
    Lowest odds3.603.401.87
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.281.2474.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.901.8351.3%
    Under 2.5 goals1.951.9248.7%
    Over 3.5 goals3.002.9231.6%
    BTTS – yes1.751.7054.6%
    BTTS – no2.152.0445.4%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Don Benito 1–1 Extremadura 1924, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

    Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Don Benito25%
    Draw26%
    Extremadura 192449%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: more betting tips

    Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2)75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
    Likely
    Both teams to score: yes54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.90
    Possible
    Extremadura 1924 to win48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.96
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Both teams to score: no45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals31.6% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.00
    Outsider
    Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.80
    Outsider
    Don Benito to win24.8% · fair odds 4.03 · best 3.90
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 8.5 corners
    Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
    probability of over 50.0%

    Correct score tips

    1 : 111.8%
    0 : 110.8%
    1 : 29.5%
    0 : 28.6%
    1 : 07.4%
    0 : 06.7%

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: injuries and missing players

    Don Benito

    • No reported absences

    Extremadura 1924

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Team comparison

    Don BenitoExtremadura 1924
    0%Head to head100%
    0%Goals100%

    All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.6%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Over 2.5 goals (1.90); Extremadura 1924 to win (1.96).

    Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Our estimate gives Don Benito a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Extremadura 1924 49%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:30, venue Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito.

    Who will be missing?

    Don Benito: no absences. Extremadura 1924: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.75).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 1–1 (11.8%), then 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–2 (9.5%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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