Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav (Chance Liga, 8 November 2026, 14:00): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. Second tip: FK Jablonec to win at odds of 1.97. The bookmakers' odds give FK Jablonec 48%, the draw 26% and Mladá Boleslav 26%. The most likely score is 1–1.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav preview and prediction
Jablonec host Mladá Boleslav at Stadion Střelnice in Jablonec nad Nisou, with kick-off at 14:00 on 8 November 2026 and a capacity of 6280. The table points the other way from the betting market. Mladá Boleslav sit second on 24 points and Jablonec are seventh on 20, yet the bookmakers make the home side the likeliest winner at 50%, with a draw at 25% and the visitors at 25%. Their expected goals are about 2 for Jablonec and 1 for Mladá Boleslav, roughly 3 in total, and the most likely exact score is 1-1 at 11.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FK Jablonec 1–1 Mladá Boleslav, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FK Jablonec 7th (20 points), Mladá Boleslav 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: FK Jablonec 6W 2D 5L (16:18), Mladá Boleslav 7W 3D 3L (22:15).
- H2H: 19 matches: FK Jablonec 8W 3D 8L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Mladá Boleslav 0.
Jablonec at home: three wins, three defeats
Jablonec have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 5 in this competition, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home the picture is no clearer: 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, 10 scored and 12 conceded from seven games.
Their last five matches in all competitions are the less flattering part of the story. They have won one, drawn one and lost three, scoring 6 and conceding 12. The defeats came at home to Plzeň and Slavia Praha, where the 0-5 scoreline was the heaviest of the lot, and away at Freiburg. The wins and draws were the 2-1 success at Hradec Králové and the goalless draw with Brighton.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Mladá Boleslav's attack and their away problem
On the table Mladá Boleslav are the better side. They have 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, 22 goals scored and 15 conceded, which works out at 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per match in this competition. Their attack is the strongest figure on either side of the card.
Away from home is where the visitors look more ordinary. In this competition they have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Their last five in all competitions show a team that can take a result on the road, with a 1-1 draw at Slavia Praha, but also defeats at Plzeň and Bohemians 1905. They are coming in after a 3-1 home win over Hradec Králové, which was the most recent result and the one we weigh most heavily. Five matches of form, with 5 scored and 6 conceded across all competitions, do not convince us that they are going to dominate.
Meetings and absences: a rivalry split down the middle
Across the last 19 meetings Jablonec have won 8, drawn 3 and Mladá Boleslav have won 8, with 26 goals for the hosts and 25 for the visitors. Nothing separates them over that stretch. The recent results swing both ways: Jablonec won 5-0 on 27 June 2026 and 1-0 on 21 April 2026, while Mladá Boleslav won 3-0 at Mladá Boleslav on 28 February 2026. We would not lean on the head-to-head record heavily.
No absences have been reported for either team, so both sides should be close to full strength. That keeps the decision where it belongs, on the form of the two squads and on the home advantage the bookmakers are pricing in.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 13 | 2-4-7 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
FK Jablonec
Home and away
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: last matches of both teams
FK Jablonec
Mladá Boleslav
Odds, tips and where we land
Our main tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.72, which the bookmakers rate at a 56% chance. We back it because Jablonec have had more than 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches, and the expected total of about 3 goals sits right on the line this bet needs. The price is not generous, but it is a fair one for a fixture where both sides have been finding the net. The tip wins on 2-1 and 1-2, and loses on 1-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 0-1.
Second tip: the hosts to win
Our second tip is FK Jablonec to win at odds 1.88, a 50% chance. At home Jablonec have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3, which is not a record that makes us confident on its own. The market makes them the likeliest winner, though, and we are inclined to agree at that price. The tip wins on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0, and loses on 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.97 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.14 | 3.19 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.14 | 43.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.81 | 2.64 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:33. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.8%.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Other bets worth a look
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.24, a 77% chance. It is the safest way to play the goals angle and it does not depend on who wins.
- Both teams to score at odds 1.62, a 58% chance. Jablonec have scored in three of their last five matches and Mladá Boleslav have scored in three of theirs, so it fits the goals case well.
- FK Jablonec +0 at odds 1.42, a 67% chance. At +0 a Jablonec win wins, a draw returns the stake and a defeat loses, so it leans the same way as our second tip with a little more cover.
The scoreline we keep coming back to is 1-1, and it would hurt both of our tips. We still think the goals case is the stronger one, so that is where our money goes.
Head to head
All matchesFK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: injuries and missing players
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Mladá Boleslav
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FK JablonecLWLWDMladá BoleslavWDWLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
Over 2.5 goals (1.72); FK Jablonec to win (1.97).
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
Our estimate gives FK Jablonec a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mladá Boleslav 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec.
Who will be missing?
FK Jablonec: no absences. Mladá Boleslav: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.19).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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