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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FK Jablonec13.50
XDraw7.80
2Brighton1.24

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FK Jablonec welcome Brighton on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou), and the referee is Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway. Brighton (78%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Brighton -1.75 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.83
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Combo
Brighton with over 2.5 goals
1.72
58% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Brighton (X2) at a probability of 92%, with odds of up to 1.06. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
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FK Jablonec vs Brighton: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. FK Jablonec lie 23rd, having collected 2 points after 3 matches (0W 2D 1L); Brighton lie 5th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 0L).

What to expect

In our view Brighton hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

With the result at a short price (1.24), the goals markets are also worth considering: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.83), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
  2. Unavailable: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no

Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for FK Jablonec: no absences. Brighton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available13.507.801.24
Market average12.126.841.20
Lowest odds7.345.031.17
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4066.8%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.8233.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.122.0146.7%
BTTS – yes2.101.9946.7%
BTTS – no1.851.7453.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: FK Jablonec 0–2 Brighton, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: FK Jablonec 23rd (2 points), Brighton 5th (7 points).
  • Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

FK Jablonec8%
Draw14%
Brighton78%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: more betting tips

Draw or Brighton (X2)92.1% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.8% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Brighton to win78.2% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams to score: no53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: yes46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.12
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.02 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw13.9% · fair odds 7.22 · best 7.80
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win7.9% · fair odds 12.62 · best 13.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.02
probability of over 54.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.0%

Correct score tips

0 : 211.6%
0 : 310.4%
1 : 28.7%
0 : 18.6%
1 : 37.8%
0 : 47.0%

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: injuries and missing players

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Brighton

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

FK Jablonec

5 NovDRiga 1–1 FK Jablonec
31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Brighton

5 NovWGetafe 0–1 Brighton
31 OctWManchester City 0–1 Brighton
25 OctLLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctWBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Home and away

FK Jablonec at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 0–0
Brighton away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 1–0

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: last matches of both teams

FK Jablonec

D 5/11/26 · Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec
L 31/10/26 · FK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
W 25/10/26 · Hradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
L 18/10/26 · FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Brighton

W 5/11/26 · Getafe 0–1 Brighton
W 31/10/26 · Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
L 25/10/26 · Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
W 18/10/26 · Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

Brighton -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.83).

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

Our estimate gives FK Jablonec a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Brighton 78%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway.

Who will be missing?

FK Jablonec: no absences. Brighton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.10).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (11.6%), then 0–3 (10.4%) and 1–2 (8.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.